Israel was one of the first countries to impose a global 14-day entry quarantine in March. At the time, the quarantine seemed too broad because the virus was only widespread in a few countries, but it emerged that US Vice President Mike Pence, who was then heading up the Federal Coronavirus Taskforce, had urged Benjamin […]
Author: arieh
What this blog is about
I’m not a doctor. I’m not an epidemiologist, virologist, disease specialist, statistical modeller or sociologist. What I am, I guess, is a professional generalist. I take complicated issues, digest them, and break them down into simpler parts for other people, whether policymakers or the general public. Sometimes I explain or predict how one issue can […]
Three things that aren’t going to happen
I’m seeing a lot of speculation about what happens now, following the General Election results. Well, I don’t really know. But here are three things I keep seeing discussed and suggested online that I’m pretty sure won’t happen: Labour won’t form an alternative Government There is no path to a Labour minority Government or coalition […]
Time For Another Labour Coup
Nine months ago today I confidently predicted that Jeremy Corbyn would resign. I made this prediction because it seemed like the only realistic option. I noted that he would be leading without the confidence of his Parliamentary colleagues, that he wouldn’t be able to fully staff a front-bench, and that his leadership would become bogged […]
Four More Years? Why Jeremy Corbyn will resign
Labour MPs began their move against Jeremy Corbyn partly because they were worried about a snap General Election in October or November, called by new Prime Minister Boris Johnson to strengthen his mandate, taking advantage of the weak Labour party to increase his small majority. The other consideration is that the short time until the […]