I’m seeing a lot of speculation about what happens now, following the General Election results. Well, I don’t really know. But here are three things I keep seeing discussed and suggested online that I’m pretty sure won’t happen: Labour won’t form an alternative Government There is no path to a Labour minority Government or coalition […]
Time For Another Labour Coup
Nine months ago today I confidently predicted that Jeremy Corbyn would resign. I made this prediction because it seemed like the only realistic option. I noted that he would be leading without the confidence of his Parliamentary colleagues, that he wouldn’t be able to fully staff a front-bench, and that his leadership would become bogged […]
Four More Years? Why Jeremy Corbyn will resign
Labour MPs began their move against Jeremy Corbyn partly because they were worried about a snap General Election in October or November, called by new Prime Minister Boris Johnson to strengthen his mandate, taking advantage of the weak Labour party to increase his small majority. The other consideration is that the short time until the […]
New coalition, new negotiations
So Avigdor Liberman is Israel’s new Defence Minister, right..? Well, not yet. Negotiations are ongoing for the now-5-seat Israel Beiteinu to join the coalition, with Liberman getting Defence and some sort of vote on the use of death penalty in military courts which might or might not actually happen. But one big ‘red line’ remains. […]
Israel: What if there’s no coalition by tomorrow’s deadline?
The state of play Yesterday, Yisrael Beiteinu rejected the offer of joining the next Israeli Government. Likud immediately signed a coalition agreement with Shas, leaving them with 53 coalition members and only one open negotiation – with Naftali Bennett and Jewish Home. A couple of weeks ago, Bennett announced that handing over the Religious Affairs […]